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Location: UFOUpDatesList.Com > 2011 > Feb > Feb 17

Re: McGonagle's Ufological Stand

From: Michael Tarbell <mtarbell.nul>
Date: Wed, 16 Feb 2011 15:08:35 -0700
Archived: Thu, 17 Feb 2011 08:36:42 -0500
Subject: Re: McGonagle's Ufological Stand

>From: Joe McGonagle <joe.mcgonagle.nul>
>To: post.nul
>Date: Wed, 16 Feb 2011 13:23:37 +0000
>Subject: Re: McGonagle's Ufological Stand

>>From: Michael Tarbell <mtarbell.nul>
>>To:  post.nul
>>Date: Tue, 15 Feb 2011 10:29:44 -0700
>>Subject: Re: McGonagle's Ufological Stand

>>>From: Joe McGonagle <joe.mcgonagle.nul>
>>>To: post.nul
>>>Date: Tue, 15 Feb 2011 12:54:07 +0000
>>>Subject: McGonagle's Ufological Stand [was: Budd Hopkins]


>>>Personally I do not exclude the ETH, but it is very very low on
>>>the probability scale, below the probability of time travellers,
>>>which is also very low on the scale. Those are my opinions,
>>>don't expect me to substantiate them.

>>As you evidently have at least a rudimentary ranking of
>>hypotheses, with ETs and time travelers near the bottom, would
>>you care to identify any that you place near the top? No need to
>>substantiate them, just curious.

>In general I would place undocumented/undiscovered met phenomena
>at or near the top, but it would depend on the exact nature of
>the report as to what potential explanation might be the best
>fit. At the end of the day, if a definite cause can not be
>determined, it is an (often subjective) 'best guess', with some
>reports even defying a guess.

Fair enough. I would likewise rank unknown 'natural' physical
phenomena (not necessarily meteorological) near the top,
although it does not sit well with accounts of apparent
intelligent control or behavior. I once made an inquiry to the
List regarding the number/proportion of 'good' cases that
involved such (in fervent hope that someone else had done the
legwork I was unwilling to do), but received no response.

In general I see the ensemble of hypotheses as more of a broad
pile than a linear stack, i.e., none of them really towers over
the others, which I suppose is equivalent to the majority of
them being almost equally ludicrous.


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