From: Michael Tarbell <mtarbell.nul> Date: Wed, 16 Feb 2011 15:08:35 -0700 Archived: Thu, 17 Feb 2011 08:36:42 -0500 Subject: Re: McGonagle's Ufological Stand >From: Joe McGonagle <joe.mcgonagle.nul> >To: post.nul >Date: Wed, 16 Feb 2011 13:23:37 +0000 >Subject: Re: McGonagle's Ufological Stand >>From: Michael Tarbell <mtarbell.nul> >>To: post.nul >>Date: Tue, 15 Feb 2011 10:29:44 -0700 >>Subject: Re: McGonagle's Ufological Stand >>>From: Joe McGonagle <joe.mcgonagle.nul> >>>To: post.nul >>>Date: Tue, 15 Feb 2011 12:54:07 +0000 >>>Subject: McGonagle's Ufological Stand [was: Budd Hopkins] >><snip> >>>Personally I do not exclude the ETH, but it is very very low on >>>the probability scale, below the probability of time travellers, >>>which is also very low on the scale. Those are my opinions, >>>don't expect me to substantiate them. >>As you evidently have at least a rudimentary ranking of >>hypotheses, with ETs and time travelers near the bottom, would >>you care to identify any that you place near the top? No need to >>substantiate them, just curious. >In general I would place undocumented/undiscovered met phenomena >at or near the top, but it would depend on the exact nature of >the report as to what potential explanation might be the best >fit. At the end of the day, if a definite cause can not be >determined, it is an (often subjective) 'best guess', with some >reports even defying a guess. Fair enough. I would likewise rank unknown 'natural' physical phenomena (not necessarily meteorological) near the top, although it does not sit well with accounts of apparent intelligent control or behavior. I once made an inquiry to the List regarding the number/proportion of 'good' cases that involved such (in fervent hope that someone else had done the legwork I was unwilling to do), but received no response. In general I see the ensemble of hypotheses as more of a broad pile than a linear stack, i.e., none of them really towers over the others, which I suppose is equivalent to the majority of them being almost equally ludicrous. Mike Listen to 'Strange Days... Indeed' - The PodCast At: http://www.virtuallystrange.net/ufo/sdi/program/ These contents above are copyright of the author and UFO UpDates - Toronto. They may not be reproduced without the express permission of both parties and are intended for educational use only.
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