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Location: UFOUpDatesList.Com > 2011 > Feb > Feb 13

Re: More On The Trindade Island Case

From: Greg Paloma <fractalmaze.nul>
Date: Sat, 12 Feb 2011 15:54:40 -0700
Archived: Sun, 13 Feb 2011 07:21:02 -0500
Subject: Re: More On The Trindade Island Case


>From: Martin Shough <parcellular.nul>
>To: <post.nul>
>Date: Fri, 11 Feb 2011 12:23:52 -0000
>Subject: Re: More On The Trindade Island Case

>>From: Greg Paloma <fractalmaze.nul>
>>To: post.nul
>>Date: Thu, 10 Feb 2011 14:03:01 -0700
>>Subject: Re: More On The Trindade Island Case

>>>From: Martin Shough <parcellular.nul>
>>>To: <post.nul>
>>>Date: Thu, 10 Feb 2011 13:06:19 -0000
>>>Subject: Re: More On The Trindade Island Case

<snip>

>>Mr Shough,

>>I much appreciate this reply but this should not also substitute
>>for the anticipated response I most desire from the case
>>champions closest to the event by language, length of study,
>>and assumed detail.

>>Many interconnecting factors underlie my question including the
>>linear relationship between event time and the number of
>>witnesses reported. This is also in direct correlation to the
>>cloud shift.

>>We should all agree that the greater the length of time of the
>>actual ufo sighting event, the greater the probability for more
>>witneses. Since we have only a few direct witnesses, we should
>>count that as favoring less time for the transpiration of the
>>event.

>>Your estimate is reasonable and in the interest of the
>>unavoidable and sought after consensus, I will assume you would
>>settle for a total time of 45 +/- 15 seconds. That is about 9
>>+/- 3 seconds average between all six shots. Are we agreeed?

>Hi Greg

>Your arithmetic is correct, but I offered my comment in a spirit
>of helping you to callibrate the significance of answers to the
>question you posed to Brazilian UFO Magazine. I am not "settling
>for" anything, personally, and prefer that you don't assume
>anything. There are various figures in the literature, and
>different assumptions about what they signify and what their
>source is. It is one ambiguous detail among many. I reserve my
>right to adapt my judgments on them all without notice in the
>light of all those "interconnecting factors" that make the whole
>Trindade puzzle so complex and fascinating. I am an interested
>observer and await your argument when it comes.

>>Do the Brazillian researchers agree as well?

>Please do not induct me into any sort of "block vote" on this
>issue or any other. If "the Brazilian researchers" have a
>corporate position, then like you I will be interested to see
>what it is, and why, but I am not joining any campaign team or
>having any badges pinned on my lapel, thanks ;-)


Hi Martin, this is not a call to pin a badge on anyone, but more
a field sticker tagging an important fact. I'm looking forward
to their comments, but perhaps I'm too hopeful that they are
willing to state published fact since there is still silence
from their end?

I accepted your one-minute upper estimate based upon your
current understanding. But, we must concede that the Trindade
UFO observation is well known as a short duration event. I have
also come to understand that you are much more than a casual
observer. Therefore, if there are various published estimates as
you have stated, I shall look forward to your listing of them. I
see a period article with the headlines of 14 seconds... there
you will see a big picture of Barauna holding up his camera. Not
sure if he states general agreement with that number but
certainly he had ample opportunity to provide, counter, and
correct with his own value and for them to include anyone
else's... earliest accounts often being the most correct!

Certainly, by your own careful estimate, having been familiar
with the case for so long, you have not exceeded any of the
published numbers?

Your willingness to jump to answer my question seems to signal
your innate confidence on this issue pointing to an unavoidable
reality. I might believe now that evidence of the cloud shift
itself has caused a tug to accommodate the larger time interval
favoring one minute. But, might it also reveal an important
divergence with the historically witnessed account?

If by consensus we establish an average value that is also my
intention through the course of this exercise. But, if we can
actually reach agreement it might also serve to demonstrate
cohesive understanding removing a complexity that really
shouldn't exist in a case allegedly witnessed by so many and
studied for so long. I'm perplexed that we might be evidencing
an active back peddle to the prevailing facts that all
strengthened upon it's rather short duration.

My estimate, as you of course know, includes a reasonable range
that includes your upper bound as my maximum and is 2 to 4 times
the 14 second account. Add to this that a skilled photographer
missed two shots due to the harried nature of the incident and
the rapid object movement described, we must also concede that
the lesser amount is more reasonable and yet note that we have
still doubled and even quadrupled the time interval if for
nothing else but to allow prevailing reason to surmount certain
mental obstacles.

I hoped also to illustrate the scientific process. That by
merely asking such a simple question how it can rally forces to
encompass and consider much more of the case - enough to see
limits emerge both in terms of critical thought and in the
emotional temperaments of those favorable to the case.

Might I say limits of incredulity possibly too... for I can't
imagine in any reasonable manner redefining this incident as a
long term affair, especially within the confines of the
published facts. The photos themselves fairly well map the
beginning and end of the entire event. Even under careful
scrutiny we might also find the photos revealing evidence of
lateral elongation (motion blur), which is again indicative of
rapid speed and again parallels and reconciles with the short
duration witness accounts.

I should add a note of philosophy that emotional investment of
time in any particular venture is, in of itself, an obstacle to
change and scientific progress. Often requiring one to flip
opinion at the furthest reaches of ones own personal limits
whether correct, incorrect, or foolish appearing - that most
often being the case when it counters cherished and often
critical beliefs.

But, we must also confess that beliefs drive science importantly
just as they can detract, especially when an internal hunch
throws alignment to a seemingly disconnected set of variables.
Or, in retrospect is it all merely coincidence that some get it
right while others do not, leaving the false appearance of
insight?

But, in all this, I personally find truth from the human
blessings of creativity - a kernel to the unknown on a path to
the furthest reaches of imaginations, safe and secure in own
individual thoughts! =)


G. Paloma



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