UFO UpDates
A mailing list for the study of UFO-related phenomena
'Its All Here In Black & White'
Location: UFOUpDatesList.Com > 2008 > Mar > Mar 19

Re: Abduction Monitoring Project PDF File

From: Robert Powell <rpowell.nul>
Date: Wed, 19 Mar 2008 11:27:51 -0500
Archived: Wed, 19 Mar 2008 15:49:30 -0400
Subject: Re: Abduction Monitoring Project PDF File


>From: Katharina Wilson <K_Wilson.nul>
>To: ufoupdates.nul
>Date: Tue, 18 Mar 2008 15:33:17 -0500
>Subject: Abduction Monitoring Project PDF File

>I just came across this pdf. file about the monitoring project's
>research design and protocols:

>http://www.amstat.org/chapters/austin/Meetings/Powell.pdf

>Unfortunately, Robert Powell did not provide an area code with
>his phone number.

>Also interesting is this link:

>http://www.amstat.org/chapters/austin/meetings.htm

>In all of this time, no one in this organization has been
>interested enough to work on this project... I don't get it.

>I had statistical analyses done for one of my research projects
>that considered several variables from my Researcher's
>Supplement and it only cost $65.00 back in the early 1990s.

>Why not ask a university statistics department (students and
>professor) to work on this? They could use it as a
>learning/publishing experience. The data could be presented to
>them in a way so they don't know what the subject matter is.
>That would make it almost 'double-blind.'


Katharina,

The presentation that you are referring to is one that I made to
a group of about 25 statisticians at the local American
Statistical Association to try and get the interest of a degreed
statistician to analyze the data.

There are two issues to overcome. One is that there is a certain
stigma for a statistician to associate his/her name with UFO
abductions. (And you can't just hire any statistician because if
there is something there, you want someone with credible
credentials to have analyzed it.)

The statistician needs to know what is being analyzed and needs
to consult with an individual with a science background to be
able to properly analyze the data; so you can't hide the purpose
of the test.

The second issue is the amount of work and cost involved.
Although I am not a statistician by training, I am very familiar
with statistical tools and analysis. There is easily over 100
hours of work involved in analyzing that data. There are 11
different variables that may or may not interact, different time
segmentation points, and there are many different ways as to how
to handle the background noise of each of these 11 parameters.

If one just wanted to know if there was some "wow signal", then
yes, it could be analyzed more readily. But my understanding is
that there is no "wow signal", and the statistical analysis will
need to parse the data into segments and try to decide if
something is or isn't noise.

I've just given you a simple overview. It's actually much more
complicated. Most statisticians work at around $150/hr, so you
are looking at a big chunk of change. I wish it was easier, but
it's not.


Robert


Listen to 'Strange Days... Indeed' - The PodCast

See:

http://www.virtuallystrange.net/ufo/sdi/program/subscribers/


[ Next Message | Previous Message | This Day's Messages ]
This Month's Index |

UFO UpDates Main Index

UFO UpDates - Toronto - Operated by Errol Bruce-Knapp


Archive programming by Glenn Campbell at Glenn-Campbell.com