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Location: UFOUpDatesList.Com > 1997 > Oct > Oct 18

Re: Questions for Abductees

From: Jean van Gemert <jeanvg@dds.nl>
Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 21:16:01 +0200 (MET DST)
Fwd Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 08:48:56 -0400
Subject: Re: Questions for Abductees


>Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 10:58:16 -0400
>From: Peregrine Mendoza <101653.2205@compuserve.com>
>Subject: Questions for Abductees (RV)
>To: UFO UpDates - Toronto <updates@globalserve.net>

[Snip...]

>Do we really have to go through the Top 47 Reasons why the ETH
>and the Gray alien fall off the twig with a flick of Occam's
>razor, here? Bear in mind, my friend, we are not talking
>possibility, but probability, reductionism and simplicity:

 Occam's Razor itself has nothing to do with "probability"
 or "improbability" but just warns against multiplication
 of "entities". Skeptics, enigmatically, seem to see this
 as some "special pass", permitting "rubber stamping" the
 first prosaic possibility someone throws up. However, any
 probability assessments require information, rather than
 simply applying a rule of thumb like Occam's Razor.

 As for reductionism and simplicity, I might note that if
 the things you already know to exist do not satisfactorily
 explain all the data, then additional complexity is simply
 required.
 __________________________________________________________________________

                    Science, Logic, and the UFO Debate:
               http://www.primenet.com/~bdzeiler/index.html
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